Neil’s Substack

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Analytical but narrative -- blending the past and future of sportswriting

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  1. On the brinkNeil’s Substack Newsletter

    Subscribe to Scoreboard by clicking here! Read the archive here.

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  2. ⚾ 2026 MLB Elo Power Ratings, Playoff Odds & Wins Above Replacement (WAR) rankings 📈Neil’s Substack Newsletter

    The following table is a list of MLB teams with their Elo ratings and their predicted wins throughout the 2026 season.

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  3. 🏀 2026-27 NBA Elo Forecast and Player Ratings 📈Neil’s Substack Newsletter

    Track how I'm forecasting every team’s chance to make — and win — the NBA Finals, all season long.

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  4. 🏒 2026-27 NHL Team Elo Power Rankings & Goals Above Replacement Player Ratings 📉Neil’s Substack Newsletter

    Power ratings and forecasts for every NHL team and player this season.

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  5. 🎓2026 College Football Odds Tracker and QB Rankings🏈Neil’s Substack Newsletter

    Aggregated market forecasts for college football teams this season.

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  6. ⚽ 2026-27 English Premier League Tracker 📈Neil’s Substack Newsletter

    Aggregating each team's market odds to avoid relegation, finish highly or win the 2026-27 EPL championship.

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  7. 📈2026 NFL Odds Tracker, Elo Ratings and Player Rankings🏈Neil’s Substack Newsletter

    Aggregated predictions, Elo rankings and forecasts for every NFL team this season.

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  8. Is This the October of Small Ball? It’s Complicated.Neil’s Substack Newsletter

    The long-ball is out, manufacturing runs is in. At least, that’s the story of this postseason — but the numbers suggest things aren’t quite that simple.

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  9. The ice is shiftingNeil’s Substack Newsletter

    Subscribe to Scoreboard by clicking here! Read the archive here.

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  10. Before Tom Brady Was Great, He Was Good Enough To Win WithNeil’s Substack Newsletter

    Twenty-five years after his first NFL touchdown pass, a look back at how Brady helped the 2001 Patriots win a Super Bowl — not by raising his ceiling, but by raising his floor.

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  11. Trouble BrewingNeil’s Substack Newsletter

    Subscribe to Scoreboard by clicking here! Read the archive here.

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  12. Neither Won the NBA Title. Now They’re Historic Co-Favorites.Neil’s Substack Newsletter

    Despite not winning in ‘26, the Spurs and Thunder are dead-even with each other now, historically far ahead of everyone else... and only one can escape the West.

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  13. No easing into the weekNeil’s Substack Newsletter

    Subscribe to Scoreboard by clicking here! Read the archive here.

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  14. Bills-Rams Could Show Us One Super Bowl Team. But Maybe Not Two.Neil’s Substack Newsletter

    The NFL’s strongest interconference games often feature an eventual Super Bowl squad, but seldom do they nail both teams in the actual Super Bowl matchup.

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  15. 🏁 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Driver Rankings 🚗Neil’s Substack Newsletter

    Tracking the top drivers in the sport, all season long.

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